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Post by : Badri Ariffin
Asian equity markets dipped on Monday, affected by disappointing GDP figures from Japan and investor caution regarding Nvidia’s forthcoming earnings. Risk appetite was low as traders adjusted their expectations about a potential Federal Reserve rate cut in December.
Japan's Economic Struggles Despite Modest GDP Performance
The Nikkei 225 and TOPIX indices in Japan both declined by 0.6%. Recent data indicated a 1.8% contraction in the economy for Q3, marking the sharpest decrease since mid-2024. This figure, while better than the anticipated 2.5% drop, highlighted challenges such as weak domestic consumption and declining exports influenced by U.S. tariffs. Nonetheless, a rise in capital expenditure helped mitigate losses somewhat.
This GDP release dampened speculation about a potential interest rate hike from the Bank of Japan in December, although some analysts suggest inflationary pressures could still prompt a January increase.
China-Japan Tensions Impact Regional Markets
Strains between Beijing and Tokyo further weighed on market sentiment. China issued travel warnings to its citizens regarding Japan following controversial comments made by Japanese PM Sanae Takaichi regarding Taiwan. Consequently, both Chinese and Hong Kong exchanges dropped, with the Shanghai Composite down 0.6%, CSI 300 down 0.7%, and Hang Seng lowering by 0.5%. Japanese tourism stocks were particularly hard hit by the fallout.
Nvidia Earnings Create Caution in Tech Sector
The market is closely monitoring Nvidia’s earnings report, anticipated to reflect ongoing growth driven by AI. Nevertheless, apprehension remains as notable investors like Peter Thiel and Michael Burry reduced their holdings, while Japan’s SoftBank divested from its investments. This environment revealed vulnerabilities in tech shares across Asia.
South Korea Sees Growth Amid Semiconductor Boost
In contrast to the broader market weaknesses, South Korea’s KOSPI index surged by 1.7%, buoyed by robust export figures and dwindling semiconductor stocks for SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics. These supply challenges are predicted to elevate chip prices globally; additionally, Samsung announced new domestic chip production investments that further fueled market confidence.
Mixed Performances Across Asian Markets
Other regional markets exhibited mixed movements: Australia’s ASX 200 decreased by 0.3%, while Singapore’s Straits Times fell by 0.1%; in contrast, India’s Nifty 50 gained 0.3%, nearing the significant 26,000-point milestone. Meanwhile, U.S. futures indicated modest increases, with the S&P 500 rising 0.4% and Nasdaq 100 climbing 0.7% during Asian trading hours.
As Asian markets grapple with economic pressures, geopolitical tensions, and uncertainties in technology sectors, investors remain vigilant for corporate earnings results and global central bank moves.
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