Post by : Rameen Ariff

New forecasts for Bitcoin (BTC) indicate that the leading cryptocurrency could surpass the $140,000 mark before the end of October. Based on historical data and advanced statistical modeling, crypto analyst Timothy Peterson suggests that the likelihood of Bitcoin finishing the month above this key level is increasing.

Peterson shared his analysis on X, showing that October 2025 may bring significant gains for BTC. His AI-driven simulation indicates that about half of the month’s potential increase may have already occurred. Using data from October 2015 to 2024, the model estimates a 50% chance that Bitcoin will close the month above $140,000, which would represent roughly a 15% rise from the current price of around $121,000. At the same time, there is a 43% probability that BTC could end below $136,000.

The forecast chart highlights daily price movements leading into October and projects a gradual upward trend into early November. The model’s average prediction suggests Bitcoin climbing from $120,000 toward $140,000. The 68% confidence range remains mostly above $130,000, while the 95% confidence interval shows Bitcoin is very unlikely (around 5%) to finish October below $110,000 or above $170,000.

Historically, October has been a strong month for Bitcoin. Peterson’s analysis notes that certain days—such as the 9th, 20th, and 28th—have been bullish 71% of the time, and the 29th has seen gains 78% of the time since 2015. These recurring patterns add weight to the current bullish forecast, suggesting BTC could approach new all-time highs soon.

Looking further ahead, Peterson’s long-term chart shows Bitcoin’s steady growth since 2022 within an upward channel. He believes the cryptocurrency remains on a trajectory that could push it toward $200,000 within the next 170 days. While he does not rely on traditional technical analysis, Peterson emphasizes the recurring cycles in Bitcoin’s market history as a strong indicator of continued price appreciation into 2026.

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