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Post by : Shakul
A leading international defence study has warned that a military conflict between the United States and China over Taiwan could escalate into a nuclear confrontation, raising fresh concerns about stability in the Indo-Pacific region. The assessment was released ahead of the Shangri-La Dialogue security summit in Singapore, one of Asia’s largest annual defence forums.
The report was published by the London-based International Institute for Strategic Studies and highlighted the growing risk of a new nuclear arms race centered around the Asia-Pacific region. Analysts warned that increasing military modernization, expanding nuclear arsenals, and long-range strike capabilities are creating serious challenges for global strategic stability.
According to the study, both China and the United States could launch wide-ranging military operations targeting each other’s command, communication, intelligence, and surveillance systems in the event of a Taiwan conflict. Researchers cautioned that the absence of clearly defined “guard rails” or rules of engagement between the two powers increases the danger of rapid escalation.
Taiwan remains one of the most sensitive geopolitical flashpoints between Washington and Beijing. China considers Taiwan part of its territory and has never ruled out the use of force for reunification, although Beijing continues to publicly state that it prefers peaceful integration. Taiwan’s government strongly rejects China’s sovereignty claims and continues to strengthen its own defense capabilities.
The report comes shortly after a summit between Chinese President Xi Jinping and US President Donald Trump in Beijing earlier this month. The meeting reportedly triggered concerns in Taipei about the future level of American support for Taiwan amid shifting regional security dynamics.
China has significantly increased military pressure around Taiwan in recent years through large-scale naval exercises, air patrols, and military deployments near the island. Taiwanese authorities remain on high alert amid fears that Beijing could intensify military activities following recent diplomatic developments.
The International Institute for Strategic Studies also warned that Asia-Pacific nations are increasingly investing in advanced weapons systems and nuclear modernization programs. Experts stated that this trend could further destabilize the regional security environment if diplomatic mechanisms fail to keep pace with military expansion.
The study noted that while the United States and Russia still possess the world’s largest nuclear arsenals, China is rapidly expanding its own nuclear capabilities. Recent Pentagon estimates suggest China could possess around 1,000 nuclear warheads by 2030 as it accelerates modernization of its strategic forces.
Global attention is now focused on the Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore, where defense ministers, military leaders, intelligence officials, and international security experts are expected to discuss Taiwan, regional conflicts, and the future of Indo-Pacific security cooperation.
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