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Post by : Rameen Ariff
Mexico has taken a major turn in its trade policy by approving steep new tariffs on a wide range of Asian imports, marking a significant departure from its long-standing support for open markets. The new tariff structure, which begins next year and will expand through 2026, targets more than 1,400 products from countries that do not have a formal trade agreement with Mexico. India is among the major exporting nations affected, along with China, South Korea, Thailand and Indonesia.
The decision was passed by Mexico’s Senate with 76 votes in favour, five against and 35 abstentions. Despite objections from domestic industry groups and strong protests from China, the government moved ahead, arguing that the tariffs are necessary to strengthen local manufacturing and protect priority sectors. The lower house had already cleared the bill before it reached the Senate.
Under the revised structure, certain items will face duties as high as 50 per cent, while most products will fall under a 35 per cent bracket. The increased tariff rates will apply to a wide list of industrial inputs and consumer goods, including automobiles and auto parts, textiles, apparel, plastics, footwear, metals and other essential imports that fuel Mexican industries.
For India, the impact of Mexico’s new tariff policy is significant. India has been working to expand exports of textiles, engineering goods, auto components and leather products to Latin America. Mexico, being the second-largest economy in the region and a crucial gateway to North America, has remained an important market. Indian exporters have long used Mexico as a bridge to enter US supply chains, benefiting from Mexico’s strong integration with North American industries. The tariff hikes now threaten to weaken that advantage, raising concerns among Indian manufacturers and exporters.
Many Mexican manufacturers depending on imported materials have warned that the new tariff rates on products from India and other Asian nations will increase production costs and push inflation higher. According to industry representatives, these rising costs may eventually pass down to consumers. India’s Commerce Ministry has not yet issued an official statement on the new developments.
This major shift is also being viewed through the lens of North American politics. Analysts believe Mexico’s protectionist move is closely tied to pressure from the United States ahead of next year’s USMCA review. The US has already imposed high tariffs on Chinese goods and has repeatedly warned Mexico to tighten checks on Chinese supply-chain routing through its borders. By aligning its tariff structure more closely with the US, Mexico is seen as signalling cooperation in hopes of easing American restrictions on its own exports, especially steel and aluminium. Although Mexico’s President Claudia Sheinbaum has denied any direct link to US demands, the tariff pattern strongly resembles American actions.
The policy that finally passed was slightly softer than an earlier proposal that had planned extremely strict duties across nearly all 1,400 tariff lines. Lawmakers decided to reduce the severity of tariffs in about two-thirds of the categories. Still, the Mexican finance ministry estimates that the new tariff regime will generate nearly 52 billion pesos (₹19,000 crore) in revenue next year—an amount the government says is essential to reduce its fiscal deficit.
Reactions inside Mexico remain mixed. Several opposition leaders said that while the tariffs could help certain sectors that have struggled to compete with cheaper Chinese imports, they will also act as a tax on ordinary citizens. Some senators questioned how the government plans to use the additional revenue. On the other hand, members of the ruling Morena party defended the bill, insisting that the move will strengthen Mexican products in global supply chains and protect jobs in key industries.
Mexico’s auto industry, one of the hardest-hit sectors by Chinese competition, strongly supported the decision. Chinese car manufacturers now hold nearly 20 per cent of the Mexican auto market, a dramatic rise from almost zero six years ago. Under the new rules, imported Chinese vehicles will be subject to the highest duty of 50 per cent.
The legislation also gives Mexico’s Economy Ministry wide-ranging authority to revise tariffs on countries without trade agreements, allowing the government to make rapid adjustments depending on global market conditions. This means Indian exporters could face further changes in duty structures in the coming years.
Mexico’s move reflects a wider shift across North America, where the US and Canada are both tightening scrutiny on Chinese supply chains and pushing for more regional manufacturing. For India, the road ahead in the Mexican market may become more complicated, as exporters reassess strategies, costs and supply-chain routes in response to this new wave of protectionism.
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