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Post by : Saif Rahman
Despite the reduction of Chinese warships and coast guard vessels in the vicinity, Taiwan remains highly vigilant following a series of extensive military exercises by China near the island. Dubbed “Justice Mission 2025,” these drills have sparked considerable apprehension in Taiwan and beyond regarding peace and regional stability.
The Chinese maneuvers entailed the deployment of rockets, fighter planes, warships, and coast guard units close to Taiwanese waters. At peak activity, over 90 Chinese vessels were recorded operating in the seas around Taiwan, including the South China Sea and the East China Sea. Taiwan's defense ministry reported the detection of 77 Chinese aircraft and 25 naval and coast guard vessels in a single day, with at least 35 aircraft breaching the Taiwan Strait's unofficial median line.
Although Chinese forces have begun withdrawing, Taiwan has not relaxed its defense measures. Emergency readiness protocols for Taiwan's military and coast guard are in full force, allowing for immediate response should the situation escalate again. In parallel, Taiwan has been conducting its own military exercises, involving the installation of barriers and positioning defensive assets in strategic locations.
Taiwan's administration has vehemently condemned China's actions, describing the exercises as a significant threat to regional security and an outright provocation. Officials assert that such military intimidation only heightens anxiety and instability rather than fostering peace. Flights across Taiwan have been cancelled, with the populace closely monitoring developments during the ongoing drills.
On the other hand, China has justified its military activities, asserting that these measures are necessary to safeguard national sovereignty, warning against what it terms as “Taiwan independence forces” and foreign meddling. According to Chinese officials, these drills serve as a formidable warning, particularly following the United States' recent approval of a record $11.1 billion arms deal with Taiwan.
The intensifying tensions have led to a meeting among ambassadors from the Quad nations — the United States, India, Japan, and Australia — in Beijing. Although specifics of their discussions were kept private, the gathering emphasized growing international worries regarding security in the Indo-Pacific region.
Experts suggest that while Chinese military posturing is escalating, an all-out war remains improbable due to the potential severe costs for all parties involved. Nonetheless, the current climate is precarious. China maintains that Taiwan is part of its territory, while Taiwan vehemently disputes this, functioning as an independent democracy.
At this juncture, the withdrawal of Chinese naval forces has introduced some semblance of tranquility, yet uncertainty lingers. Taiwan's sustained alertness highlights a stark truth: trust is minimal, tensions are elevated, and the potential for miscalculation is significant. The forthcoming days will reveal whether dialogue or increased pressure will dictate the next phase of cross-strait interactions.
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