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Post by : Shakul
The US Dollar weakened against the Singapore Dollar on Tuesday, with the USD/SGD pair falling around 0.56% to trade near S$1.2756, reflecting growing pressure from geopolitical uncertainty and bearish technical indicators.
Despite the US Dollar’s traditional role as a safe-haven asset during global tensions, including ongoing instability in the Middle East, the currency faced broader selling pressure. Analysts note that investors continue to move toward US Treasury assets in uncertain times, a trend often highlighted by policymakers such as Scott Bessent, who recently pointed to increased demand for US government debt during geopolitical stress.
However, this safe-haven demand has not fully supported the Dollar against the Singapore Dollar, which remains relatively resilient due to Singapore’s strong macroeconomic fundamentals and stable monetary policy managed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
From a technical perspective, the USD/SGD pair is currently trading below its 20-day and 200-day simple moving averages, signaling short-term weakness and a longer-term bearish outlook. While it remains slightly above the 50-day moving average, analysts suggest this provides only limited support amid broader downward pressure.
Momentum indicators show mixed signals. Tools like RSI and CCI indicate mild buying interest without overbought conditions, while MACD and ADX suggest weak upward momentum. Overall, the technical structure reflects a cautious market with a bearish bias.
Experts, including Viktoras Karapetjanc, expect the currency pair to trade within a narrow range of S$1.2730 to S$1.2810 in the near term. The probability of a strong upward breakout remains low, with downside risks still present if key support levels are breached.
In the short term, traders are closely watching global risk sentiment, particularly geopolitical developments and central bank signals. A break below S$1.2730 could trigger further declines, while any recovery above S$1.2810 may open limited upside potential.
With volatility expected to remain moderate, the USD/SGD pair is likely to continue consolidating as markets balance safe-haven flows against broader macroeconomic and technical pressures.
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