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Post by : Badri Ariffin
Confusion surrounding the status of US-Iran negotiations persisted on Tuesday as opposing claims from both nations emerged, further complicating the ongoing tensions amidst a recent shipping incident in the Strait of Hormuz.
President Donald Trump asserted on Monday that talks were in progress, referring to them as a "last chance" for Iran to secure a favorable agreement. However, Iranian officials swiftly refuted his statement, asserting that no discussions were taking place.
During a press briefing at the Oval Office, Trump reaffirmed that the talks were occurring at the behest of Iran, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, and others.
He maintained, "They are active right now" when questioned about the negotiations.
Trump's comments followed his decision to cancel "massive attacks" against Iran, which had been approved earlier, as he anticipated diplomatic discussions, revealing a consistent pattern of fluctuating between military threats and diplomacy.
Esmail Baghaei, spokesman for Iran's Foreign Ministry, dismissed the assertion of negotiations with the U.S., clarifying that no meetings were scheduled, and that Iranian negotiators, apart from Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi—who is in Iraq for a pilgrimage—remained in the country.
Baghaei mentioned that discussions were limited to talks with Oman regarding Strait of Hormuz management.
The latest shipping incident, where a cargo vessel reported being struck by an unidentified projectile near Hormuz, underscored the ongoing risks to this vital global energy corridor.
The UK Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) agency confirmed the distress signal from the vessel, coinciding with a notable decrease in shipping traffic through the strait, where only six vessels, including oil tankers and bulk carriers, transited on Monday.
The Strait of Hormuz is crucial for global crude oil and natural gas transport, with one-fifth of the world's shipments passing through.
Notwithstanding the contradictory statements from both sides, financial markets reflected optimism towards de-escalation in tensions, leading to a 7% decrease in Brent crude oil futures, dropping to approximately $83.77 per barrel.
At the same time, the Dow Jones Industrial Average reached a record high, with Asian stock markets and oil prices experiencing slight increases on Tuesday.
Gulf officials believe Iran is leveraging regional trade routes and energy infrastructure to escalate the economic ramifications of confrontation for the U.S. and its allies.
Michael Knights of the Washington Institute noted that Iran's ability to impact neighboring countries and the global economy provides them a significant edge.
Later that day, Trump took to Truth Social to criticize Iran's leadership, labeling them "unbelievably duplicitous," and maintained that the U.S. Navy holds complete control over the Strait of Hormuz.
According to him, "Nothing gets through to Iran unless we want it to, and nothing will get through without a deal or total surrender."
These recent developments align with a repetitive pattern observed since the initiation of "Operation Epic Fury" involving Israel. The past five months have seen Trump oscillate between issuing military threats and later citing diplomatic engagements as reasons for postponing action.
Iran has consistently rebuffed dialogue attempts since the failure of a memorandum aimed at conflict resolution in July, leaving U.S. objectives of curbing Iran's nuclear ambitions and military reach unfulfilled.
The Strait of Hormuz remains at the heart of contention between the U.S. and Iran, with Washington insisting that Iran is obligated to restore access to the strategic waterway, while Tehran upholds its authority over shipping operations in the area.
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